Welcome 

Macro: Measuring the U.S. Economy

GDP: FED 2nd Quarter 2021 Growth Estimate: +7.4%

GDP: BEA 1st Quarter 2021 Growth Estimate: +6.4%

INFLATION: BLS Annualized Rate for June: +5.4%

JOBS: BLS Unemployment Rate for June: 5.9%

JOBS: BLS Number of Unemployed in June: 9.5M

* FED GDPNow model estimate of Q2 2021 real GDP growth annualized as of 07/27/21.

** BEA 3rd estimate of Q1 2021 real GDP growth annualized as of 06/24/21.

*** BLS current annualized rate of inflation for June, 2021, released on 07/13/21.

**** BLS unemployment data for June reported 07/02/21.

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Required Minimum Distributions (RMD):
Begin at age 72 for those born on or after July 1, 1949;
versus 701/2 for those born before (SECURE Act)

THREAT INFLATION: 
Why the 1970s Aren't coming back

housing boom to continue

COVID Data Tracker

Opening the Economy

Recent Economic Data:

7/26/2021 New Single-Family Home Sales Fell 6.6% in June

7/22/2021 Existing Home Sales Increased 1.4% in June

7/20/2021 Housing Starts Increased 6.3% in June

7/16/2021 Retail Sales Increased 0.6% in June

7/15/2021 Industrial Production Increased 0.4% in June

7/14/2021 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 1.0% in June

7/13/2021 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Increased 0.9% in June

7/6/2021 The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Declined to a Still Strong 60.1 in June

7/2/2021 Nonfarm Payrolls Increased 850,000 in June

7/1/2021 The ISM Manufacturing Index Fell to 60.6 in June

6/25/2021 Personal Income Declined 2.0% in May

6/24/2021 New Orders for Durable Goods Rose 2.3% in May

6/24/2021 Real GDP Growth Remained at an Unrevised 6.4% Annual Rate in Q1

6/23/2021 New Single-Family Home Sales Fell 5.9% in May

6/22/2021Existing Home Sales Declined 0.9% in May

6/16/2021 Housing Starts Increased 3.6% in May

6/15/2021 Retail Sales Declined 1.3% in May

6/15/2021 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 0.8% in May

6/15/2021 Industrial Production Increased 0.8% in May

6/10/2021 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Increased 0.6% in May

6/8/2021 The Trade Deficit in Goods and Services was $68.9 Billion in April

6/4/2021 Nonfarm Payrolls Increased 559,000 in May

6/3/2021 The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Increased to 64.0 in May

6/1/2021 The ISM Manufacturing Index Rose to 61.2 in May

5/28/2021 Personal Income Declined 13.1% in April

5/27/2021 Real GDP Growth Remained at an Unrevised 6.4% Annual Rate in Q1

5/27/2021 New Orders for Durable Goods Declined 1.3% in April

5/25/2021 New Single-Family Home Sales Fell 5.9% in April

5/21/2021 Existing Home Sales Declined 2.7% in April

5/18/2021 Housing Starts Declined 9.5% in April

5/14/2021 Retail Sales Were Unchanged in April

5/14/2021 Industrial Production Increased 0.7% in April

5/13/2021 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 0.6% in April

5/12/2021 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Increased 0.8% in April

5/7/2021 Nonfarm Payrolls Increased 266,000 in April

5/6/2021 Nonfarm Productivity Increased 5.4% at an Annual Rate in the First Quarter

5/4/2021 The Trade Deficit in Goods and Services was $74.4 Billion in March

5/3/2021 The ISM Manufacturing Index Fell to 60.7 in April

4/30/2021 Personal Income Soared 21.1% in March

4/29/2021 Real GDP Grew at a 6.4% Annual Rate in Q1

4/26/2021 New Orders for Durable Goods Rose 0.5% in March

4/23/2021 New Single-Family Home Sales Soared 20.7% in March

4/22/2021 Existing Home Sales Declined 3.7% in March

4/16/2021 Housing Starts Increased 19.4% in March

4/15/2021 Industrial Production Increased 1.4% in March

4/15/2021 Retail Sales Rose 9.8% in March

4/13/2021 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Increased 0.6% in March

4/9/2021 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 1.0% in March

4/7/2021 The Trade Deficit in Goods and Services Came in at $71.1 Billion in February

4/5/2021 The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Rose to 63.7 in March

4/1/2021 The ISM Manufacturing Index Rose to 64.7 in March

3/26/2021 Personal Income Declined 7.1% in February

3/25/2021 Real GDP Growth in Q4 was Revised to a 4.3% Annual Rate

3/24/2021 New Orders for Durable Goods Declined 1.1% in February

3/23/2021 New Single-Family Home Sales Declined 18.2% in February

3/22/2021 Existing Home Sales Declined 6.6% in February

3/17/2021 Housing Starts Declined 10.3% in February

3/16/2021 Industrial Production Declined 2.2% in February

3/16/2021 Retail Sales Declined 3.0% in February

3/12/2021 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 0.5% in February

3/10/2021 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Rose 0.4% in February

3/5/2021 Nonfarm Payrolls Increased 379,000 in February

3/5/2021 The Trade Deficit in Goods and Services Came in at $68.2 billion in January

3/3/2021 The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Declined to 55.3 in February

3/1/2021 The ISM Manufacturing Index Rose to 60.8 in February

2/26/2021 Personal Income Surged 10.0% in January

2/25/2021 Real GDP Growth in Q4 was Revised Up to a 4.1% Annual Rate

2/25/2021 New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 3.4% in January

2/24/2021 New Single-Family Home Sales Increased 4.3% in January

2/19/2021 Existing Home Sales Increased 0.6% in January

2/18/2021 Housing Starts Declined 6.0% in January

2/17/2021 Industrial Production Increased 0.9% in January

2/17/2021 Retail Sales Rose 5.3% in January

2/17/2021 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 1.3% in January

2/10/2021 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Rose 0.3% in January

2/5/2021 Trade Deficit in Goods and Services Came in at $66.6 Billion in December

2/5/2021 Nonfarm Payrolls Increased 49,000 in January

2/4/2021 Nonfarm Productivity Declined at a 4.8% Annual Rate in the Fourth Quarter

2/3/2021 The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Rose to 58.7 in January

2/1/2021 Construction Spending Increased 1.0% in December; 4.7% Annual Increase

1/28/2021 Real GDP Grew at a 4.0% Annual Rate in Q4 2020

1/28/2021 New Single-Family Home Sales Increased 1.6% in December

1/27/2021 New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 0.2% in December

1/22/2021 Existing Home Sales Increased 0.7% in December

1/21/2021 Housing Starts Increased 5.8% in December

1/15/2021 Industrial Production Increased 1.6% in December

1/15/2021 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 0.3% in December

1/15/2021 Retail Sales Declined 0.7% in December

1/13/2021 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Rose 0.4% in December

1/8/2021 Nonfarm Payrolls Fell 140,000 in December

1/7/2021 Trade Deficit in Goods & Services was $68.1 Billion in November

1/7/2021 The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Rose to 57.2 in December

1/5/2021 ISM Manufacturing Index Rose to 60.7 in December

***2021***

12/23/2020 New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 0.9% in November

12/23/2020 Personal Income Declined 1.1% in November

12/23/2020 New Single-Family Home Sales Declined 11.0% in November

12/22/2020 Q3 Real GDP Growth Revised Upward to 33.4% Annual Rate

12/22/2020 Existing Home Sales Declined 2.5% in November

12/17/2020 Housing Starts Increased 1.2% in November

12/16/2020 Retail Sales Declined 1.1% in November

12/15/2020 Industrial Production Increased 0.4% in November

12/11/2020 The Producer Price Index (PPI) Rose 0.1% in November

12/10/2020 The Consumer Price Index Rose 0.2% in November

12/4/2020 Nonfarm Payrolls Rose 245,000 in November

12/4/2020 The Trade Deficit in Goods and Services Came in at $63.1 billion in October

12/3/2020 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Declined to 55.9 in November

12/1/2020 The ISM Manufacturing Index Declined to 57.5 in November

11/25/2020 Real GDP Unrevised at a 33.1% Annual Growth Rate in Q3

11/25/2020 New Single-Family Home Sales Declined 0.3% in October

11/25/2020 New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 1.3% in October

11/19/2020 Existing Home Sales Increased 4.3% in October

11/18/2020 Housing starts increased 4.9% in October

11/17/2020 Retail Sales Rose 0.3% in October

11/17/2020 Industrial Production Increased 1.1% in October

11/13/2020 The Producer Price Index Rose 0.3% in October

11/12/2020 The Consumer Price Index was Unchanged in October

11/6/2020 Nonfarm Payrolls Rose 638,000 in October

11/5/2020 Nonfarm Productivity Increased at a 4.9% Annual Rate in the Third Quarter

11/4/2020 Trade Deficit in Goods and Services Came in at $63.9 Billion in September

11/4/2020 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Declined to 56.6 in October

11/2/2020 ISM Manufacturing Index Rose to 59.3 in October

10/30/2020 Personal Income Rose 0.9% in September

10/29/2020 First Estimate for Q3 Real GDP Growth is 33.1% at an Annual Rate

10/27/2020 New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 1.9% in September

10/26/2020 New Single-Family Home Sales Declined 3.5% in September

10/22/2020 Existing Home Sales Increased 9.4% in September

10/20/2020 Housing Starts Increased 1.9% in September

10/16/2020 Retail Sales Rose 1.9% in September

10/16/2020 Industrial Production Declined 0.6% in September

10/14/2020 The Producer Price Index Rose 0.4% in September

10/13/2020 The Consumer Price Index Rose 0.2% in September

10/6/2020 Trade Deficit in Goods and Services Came in at $67.1 Billion in August

10/5/2020 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Rose to 57.8 in September

10/2/2020 Nonfarm Payrolls Rose 661,000 in September

10/1/2020 Personal income declined 2.7% in August

10/1/2020 The ISM Manufacturing Index Declined to 55.4 in September

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